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Dispatches from the lab
Announcements, scientific reports, data briefs and special reports, built on the lab's instruments and open data.
How much warmer by 2100? Five futures from the Earth System Simulator
The planet has warmed about 1.4 °C. Our simulator puts the end of the century anywhere from 1.3 °C to 4.4 °C warmer, depending almost entirely on the emissions path we take, and shows 1.5 °C being passed around 2030 in every scenario but one.
11 min readOctober 2026: a busy month for the world's large earthquakes
The world recorded 766 earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or larger in October 2026, a quarter more than a typical October, and twice the usual number of magnitude 6 events.
9 min read